August 03, 2004

Another Look

Donald Sensing provides another look at China's resolve to invade Taiwan via Brian Dunn.

Dunn says that China definitely wants Taiwan, and we shouldn't underestimate their willingness to do so. In fact, he points to an article that states several Chinese diplomats want to have the Taiwanese Question answered by the 2008 Olympics.

I pointed out last month that the Chinese military chief Jiang Zemin had vowed to recover Taiwan by 2020, which marked the first time China has set a deadline for "reunification."

No matter the time frame, Dunn puts it best:

China can invade Taiwan and they want Taiwan. And they fear Taiwan will slip from their grasp forever if too much time passes. Nukes and deeply embedded democracy, if allowed to develop on Taiwan, could keep Taiwan independent as long as the Taiwanese want.

I think that China's capabilities to invade are far greater than people realize. But ultimately, when deciding on war and peace, it matters not what the real situation is. What the decision-makers believe is most important. Once the shooting starts, reality rears its ugly head, but by then thousands are dying to prove what reality is.

Yes indeed.

Comments:

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Is there a pool on when the Fit will hit the Shan? I'm pulling for 2010.

Posted by: Jakester at August 4, 2004 07:19 AM

whenever it is, i'm sure the chinese will use taiwanese nuclear capabilities as the reasoning behind the "pre-emptive strike".

Posted by: jakec at August 4, 2004 03:44 PM